Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Chesterfield
20.9%
Draw
18.7%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Chesterfield
vs
0.96
Barrow
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
0-1
5.7%
0-0
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).