Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Doncaster
25.1%
Draw
32.6%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Doncaster
vs
1.20
Notts County
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
6.8%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).