Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Arouca
20.3%
Draw
26.2%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Arouca
vs
1.42
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS66.0%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.546.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
4.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).