Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Doncaster
23.3%
Draw
23.8%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Doncaster
vs
1.02
Crewe
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).