Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Sassuolo
23.8%
Draw
20.8%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Sassuolo
vs
0.92
Empoli
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).