Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.9%
İstanbul Başakşehir
11.1%
Draw
5.1%
Ad. Demirspor
Expected Goals (xG)
3.63
İstanbul Başakşehir
vs
0.98
Ad. Demirspor
Markets
BTTS61.7%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.595.3%
Over 2.583.8%
Over 3.567.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
7.2%
4-1
7.1%
2-0
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
5-0
5.2%
5-1
5.1%
1-1
4.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-2
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).