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17 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.4%
Bournemouth
24.6%
Draw
16.0%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.92

Bournemouth

vs
0.92

West Brom

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
0-1
3.9%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).