Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.3%
Ibiza
18.9%
Draw
64.8%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Ibiza
vs
2.25
Santander
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-1
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
1-3
7.4%
0-3
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
1-4
4.1%
0-4
4.0%
1-0
4.0%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).