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DHT: 10CSV

03 Feb 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.6%
Arbroath
32.0%
Draw
34.5%
Inverness C

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Arbroath

vs
1.20

Inverness C

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.2%
0-0
11.3%
0-1
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).