Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.6%
Leverkusen
14.1%
Draw
6.2%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68
Leverkusen
vs
0.66
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
3-0
11.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
4-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
5.0%
5-0
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
2.8%
5-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).