Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Le Havre
25.7%
Draw
23.8%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Le Havre
vs
0.92
Metz
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).