Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Chorley
30.8%
Draw
47.9%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Chorley
vs
1.31
Stockport
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
13.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
4.9%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).