Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Ascoli
33.2%
Draw
28.5%
Reggina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Ascoli
vs
0.91
Reggina
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.7%
1-0
13.4%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).