Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Ayr
27.8%
Draw
47.8%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Ayr
vs
1.68
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
1-0
5.0%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).