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02 Feb 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.3%
Boreham Wood
18.6%
Draw
12.1%
Weymouth

Expected Goals (xG)

2.40

Boreham Wood

vs
0.93

Weymouth

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.7%
3-0
8.3%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
0-0
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).