Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Burgos
33.5%
Draw
36.1%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Burgos
vs
0.91
Elche
Markets
BTTS33.1%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.551.2%
Over 2.524.9%
Over 3.59.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.7%
0-1
16.4%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
6.0%
2-0
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
3-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).