Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Milton Keynes Dons
22.8%
Draw
26.5%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.19
Salford
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).