Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.4%
Exeter
27.8%
Draw
29.8%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Exeter
vs
0.91
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).