Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Crystal Palace
29.7%
Draw
30.2%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Crystal Palace
vs
1.19
Leeds
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
0-1
7.2%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).