Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.0%
Sp Braga
15.1%
Draw
13.8%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
2.75
Sp Braga
vs
1.16
Estoril
Markets
BTTS64.0%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.574.9%
Over 3.555.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-0
6.9%
1-1
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
4-1
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
4-0
4.8%
3-2
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
4-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).