Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.2%
Manchester City
21.4%
Draw
10.4%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Manchester City
vs
0.73
West Brom
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
1-0
11.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).