Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Red Star
27.7%
Draw
29.7%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Red Star
vs
0.91
Dijon
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).