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23 May 2026 · 00:00

Zagreb

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.7%
Zagreb
24.6%
Draw
28.7%
Zagreb

Expected Goals (xG)

1.90

Zagreb

vs
1.47

Zagreb

Markets

BTTS66.6%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
0-0
4.6%
3-2
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
0-1
3.9%
0-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).