Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.8%
Werder Bremen
23.9%
Draw
57.3%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Werder Bremen
vs
1.88
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
6.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
3.1%
0-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).