Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.8%
Milan
8.8%
Draw
4.4%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
3.32
Milan
vs
0.68
Crotone
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.576.1%
Over 3.556.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.2%
2-0
10.1%
4-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
4-1
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
5-0
6.2%
5-1
4.2%
1-1
4.1%
3-2
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).