Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.8%
Spezia
32.2%
Draw
38.0%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Spezia
vs
1.15
Modena
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
10.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).