Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Bielefeld
26.1%
Draw
41.7%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Bielefeld
vs
1.63
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).