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25 Jul 2021 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.2%
Häcken
24.3%
Draw
30.4%
Elfsborg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Häcken

vs
1.52

Elfsborg

Markets

BTTS67.2%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
1-0
5.2%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
4.3%
0-1
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).