Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
Elche
24.4%
Draw
16.5%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Elche
vs
0.77
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.9%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).