Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.2%
Gil Vicente
17.1%
Draw
10.7%
Vizela
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Gil Vicente
vs
0.70
Vizela
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.3%
1-0
12.5%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-0
5.4%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).