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23 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Ayr

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.0%
Queen of Sth
28.7%
Draw
45.4%
Ayr

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Queen of Sth

vs
1.59

Ayr

Markets

BTTS56.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
8.3%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).