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DHT: 11CSV

25 Oct 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.4%
Stevenage
31.6%
Draw
33.1%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Stevenage

vs
0.84

Bradford

Markets

BTTS32.2%
Over 0.583.2%
Over 1.550.3%
Over 2.524.9%
Over 3.59.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.9%
0-0
16.8%
0-1
16.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-0
2.0%
0-3
1.8%
3-1
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).