Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
Genoa
25.3%
Draw
49.0%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Genoa
vs
1.52
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.1%
1-1
12.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).