Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
Brentford
30.0%
Draw
37.1%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Brentford
vs
1.21
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).