Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Brighton
30.7%
Draw
26.2%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Brighton
vs
1.02
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).