Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.1%
Nantes
22.6%
Draw
17.2%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Nantes
vs
0.76
Dijon
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).