Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Wrexham
26.5%
Draw
31.9%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Wrexham
vs
1.34
Notts County
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).