Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.1%
Spal
27.1%
Draw
16.8%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Spal
vs
0.78
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
11.9%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).