Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.2%
Norwich
11.6%
Draw
85.1%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
Norwich
vs
2.87
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.4%
0-3
13.8%
0-4
9.9%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.0%
1-3
6.7%
0-5
5.7%
1-1
5.5%
1-4
4.8%
0-0
4.2%
1-5
2.7%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).