Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.4%
Aberdeen
29.4%
Draw
48.2%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Aberdeen
vs
1.37
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
11.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).