Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Coventry
25.6%
Draw
22.5%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Coventry
vs
1.07
Millwall
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).