Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.1%
Pau FC
18.5%
Draw
62.4%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Pau FC
vs
2.16
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
9.0%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
7.1%
0-3
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
5.0%
1-0
4.9%
2-3
3.9%
1-4
3.8%
0-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).