Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.0%
Fleetwood Town
24.4%
Draw
44.6%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.41
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
1-1
11.5%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).