Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Palermo
24.4%
Draw
15.1%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Palermo
vs
0.82
Spal
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.9%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).