Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.9%
St Etienne
17.4%
Draw
13.7%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
St Etienne
vs
0.83
Caen
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
0-1
4.8%
4-0
4.6%
0-0
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).