Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.2%
AVS
21.7%
Draw
52.1%
Arouca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
AVS
vs
1.87
Arouca
Markets
BTTS60.2%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
0-3
4.8%
0-0
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).