Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.9%
Lincoln
12.9%
Draw
7.3%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
Lincoln
vs
0.60
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.0%
3-0
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
4-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
1-1
6.1%
4-1
4.5%
0-0
3.8%
5-0
3.8%
0-1
3.2%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).