Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
RB Leipzig
25.7%
Draw
24.1%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
RB Leipzig
vs
1.10
Mainz
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).