Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.1%
Bayern Munich
7.4%
Draw
3.5%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
3.90
Bayern Munich
vs
0.81
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.595.1%
Over 2.584.8%
Over 3.569.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.9%
4-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-1
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
5-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
5-1
5.5%
1-0
3.3%
1-1
3.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).