Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Karagumruk
34.4%
Draw
33.9%
Denizlispor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Karagumruk
vs
1.21
Denizlispor
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.4%
0-0
12.5%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).